Sixty-three traders who actually know something.
We read 679 million Polymarket trades, cut every bot, arbitrage desk and market maker, and kept only the wallets whose edge still showed up in a window they'd never seen. Here's the whole list. Copy any of them in one tap.
The board
Ranked by how confidently their edge beats the price they paid, not by how much they made. Profit is what every other leaderboard ranks on, and it is why every other leaderboard is full of bots.
| # | Focus | Follow |
|---|
Edge per trade is what a follower earns buying the same contract and holding to settlement, already docked a cent of slippage. Consistency is the share of six-day windows in which the trader beat the price. That turned out to be the number that predicted the next month.
Three taps and you're on the tape.
Pick a trader
Hit copy on any wallet above. The bot opens with that trader already loaded, so you just set your size.
Set your ticket
Choose what you're willing to put behind each of their trades. Fixed sizing, so one bad call can't take the book down.
Let it run
Every time they buy, you buy. Nothing to watch, nothing to time. Turn it off whenever you like.
How 23,071 wallets became 46.
Every leaderboard on the internet ranks by profit. Profit is the wrong number. The biggest earners on Polymarket are market makers and arbitrage desks quoting thousands of $6 clips a day. You cannot follow them, and the moment you try, their edge is gone.
So we measured something else: for every settled trade a wallet made, what would you have earned buying the same contract at the same price and holding to the end? That's the only number that survives the trip from their screen to yours.
Then we threw out anything that smelled like a machine: wallets minting and redeeming both sides of a market, wallets holding both YES and NO, anything trading faster than thirty times a day, anything quoting in clips under fifty dollars, anything collecting liquidity rewards. What's left are people making real, directional, followable calls.
The survivors were picked on one stretch of history and then scored on a completely separate stretch they had no part in choosing. They beat the market in both. That's the whole reason this list is worth your attention, and the reason it's forty-six names rather than five hundred.
Last of all we checked the scoreboard. Every name here is verified up money on Polymarket all-time, smallest survivor +$3,234. Seventeen wallets cleared every other test and still failed this one — eight of them are down money outright — so they're gone.
Stop reading the board. Get on it.
Follow one trader, or let autopilot ride all forty-six at once.
Not every call lands; the ones on the tape are the ones that did. Past results don't decide future ones, and prediction markets can lose you the whole stake. Only put in what you can afford to lose.